Practice For A Probability Mind, To Become A Expert In Poker
If we are thinking about planning in poker game, the first word we got in our mind among other gaming information is “probabilities.
Probability calculation
There are two more type of calculations exist in the game like, “Texas hold EM”. One is on thyme “Conditional” and another one is about the “possible or available outcomes”. First determine No. of outcome [which should obey the evaluated condition] then divide this by total no. of possible outcomes.
After finishing every round you can calculate the possibilities accordingly. Though this is the “Easiest calculation” than the second one, we can go with this.
This is a common think that, no one won’t to lose anything even our shirt also.
The following chart table can be useful to make any important decision which is based on your assumption in ‘Poker’.
Percentage of Odds when dealt with 5 cards:
Hand | three, five and seven cards | Percentage% |
Royal flush | 1 out of 650K hands dealt. | 0.00015 |
Straight flush | 1 out of 72K hands dealt | 0.00138 |
Four of a kind | 1 out of 4K hands dealt | 0.024 |
Full house | 1 out of 693 hands dealt | 0.144 |
Flush | 1 out of 508 hands dealt | 0.196 |
Straight | 1 out of 254 hands dealt | 0.393 |
Three of a kind | 1 out of 46 hands dealt | 2.173 |
Two pair | 1 out of 20 hands dealt | 5 |
One pair | 1 out of 4 hands dealt | 25 |
No pair | 1 out of 2 hands dealt | 50 |
Gain from mistakes
Let’s assume you are in a play and you are required to calculate odds. Then first count your current outs. If you hold “king” and “9” and four more spades on the flop, then 7 more spades will be in the deck. This implies that, you have 7 outs to finish your flush.
But this is not necessary. In addition to this, if any one of your opponent suppose to make a mistake on pot odds then never let them to compensate their mistakes with implied odds. Always you should keen to gain from your opponent’s mistake.
Let’s assume you are in a play and you are required to calculate odds. Then first count your current outs. If you hold “king” and “9” and four more spades on the flop, then 7 more spades will be in the deck. This implies that, you have 7 outs to finish your flush. But this is not necessary. In addition to this, if any one of your opponent suppose to make a mistake on pot odds then never let them to compensate their mistakes with implied odds. Always you should keen to gain from your opponent’s mistake.
In below table you can see the odds possible chances and their percentage. [Only cards being “dealt in pot” in “5 from 52 card decks” is considered as a “standard Ranking”.]
Hand | 5-card [low ball] | probability |
Royal flush | 4 | 0.000002 |
Straight flush | 36 | 0.000014 |
Four of a kind | 624 | 0.00024 |
Full house | 3744 | 0.0014 |
Flush | 5K | 0.0019 |
Straight | 10K | 0.0039 |
Three of a kind | 55K | 0.021 |
Two pair | 124K | 0.04 |
One pair | 1.1M | 0.42 |
No pair | 1.3M | 0.5 |
In addition to the above table you can see the 3 and 5 card chart also on below.
Hand | 3- Cards | 5 - Cards |
Straight flush | 48 | 42K |
Four of a kind | 0 | 42K |
Full house | 0 | 3.5M |
Flush | 1096 | 4M |
Straight | 720 | 6.2M |
Three of a kind | 52 | 6.5M |
Two pair | 0 | 31M |
One pair | 3.7K | 59M |
No pair | 16K | 23M |
All the above charts are just a model only. But in game, we should consider too many factors to find out correct odds.
Practice yourself to achieve
Usually many peoples assumed that, this card game is fully based on luck. But the professionals and experts are being the winners, we surely say that, this is not a “Luck “based. This need some strong “skill” set on probability and break-even analysis mind. So try to know how to figure out your “odds” correctly to win a game. After gaining experience then only you can able to gain the name “Good and Expert” in poker.